tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132206171945839649.post2911051376100626081..comments2024-02-13T11:11:28.246+00:00Comments on Bishop Alan’s Blog: Deep Doo-Doo under the Linden TreeBishop Alan Wilsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13879516755776951638noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132206171945839649.post-74337482782819544752008-01-24T21:00:00.000+00:002008-01-24T21:00:00.000+00:00Sorry and thanks, Sam. Yes I meant Cambridge Energ...Sorry and thanks, Sam. Yes I meant Cambridge Energy (CERA). I notice their latest http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseDetails.aspx?CID=9203 but can't quite see from that which 800 fields they selected and why, which slightly dilutes the authority of what they're saying. I'll go exploring on the Oil Drum, though, when I next have a day off. Looks interesting.Bishop Alan Wilsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13879516755776951638noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132206171945839649.post-60585971135668172172008-01-24T16:38:00.000+00:002008-01-24T16:38:00.000+00:00CEA? I'm not familiar with them. But if you mean C...CEA? I'm not familiar with them. But if you mean CERA you might find <A HREF="http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3487" REL="nofollow">this link</A> of interest - it's an analysis of their predictions over the last few years!Sam Charles Nortonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04088870675715850624noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132206171945839649.post-71655949109646506972008-01-24T16:20:00.000+00:002008-01-24T16:20:00.000+00:00Hi SamThanks — I did indeed. I realise there are v...Hi Sam<BR/><BR/>Thanks — I did indeed. I realise there are various takes on the peak oil theory, and nosing around I ended up on the CEA website. They seemed very negative about the whole concept but when you read their analysis, they weren't actually suggesting oil was infinite — just that it was more accurate (they thought) to speak of an oil plateau tapering off late teens of this century than a rigid needle sharp point in 2012 — So what, thought I! If the proportion of oil we're getting from wells that are running dry is as high as everyone seems to agree, I would have thought that fact in itself validates the core hypothesis, sooner or later. I'm fascinated by the Bush story off his present tour (which Hillary Clinton's been taking the Mickey out of him for) partly because it establishes that another plank of the Iraq strategy (if it was about protecting oil supplies) is being overtaken by reality, and partly because it implies the Saudis are more aware of the possibilities of peak oil than they are letting on. What I dpn't quite understand is the basis for CEA being so negative, apart from their close structural involvement with the industry, and a possible desire not to chop off the branch their business is sitting on! I have a friend I could explore this with sometime, but I'm not that confident about my ground here...<BR/><BR/>Thanks very much, though for the tip-off. The theory (peak or plateau) is certainly now part of my outlook, so thanks very much.Bishop Alan Wilsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13879516755776951638noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7132206171945839649.post-53879659805058555502008-01-24T10:31:00.000+00:002008-01-24T10:31:00.000+00:00+Alan - did you ever get a chance to read the stuf...+Alan - did you ever get a chance to read the stuff on Peak Oil that I sent through? It's rather relevant, not least to your last comment, because Bush seems to have admitted that the Saudi's <B>can't</B> produce any more oil...Sam Charles Nortonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04088870675715850624noreply@blogger.com