Showing posts with label Iraq War. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iraq War. Show all posts

Monday, 22 March 2010

Green Zone: Tigris Tales

As he steps off the Rugby Field, Matt Damon discovers how much less simple life is in Eye-Raq than it was in Clint's version of South Africa. Murky, devious so-and-so’s wheel and deal, and even the line between right and wrong has gone bendy. The CIA have a safe full of million dollar packs and they’re the good guys for a change. Young interns swagger and binge around the pool, and the walls of the palace are lined with silly political slogans designed to persuade everybody, against the evience of their own eyes, that the whole thing is a rightous, er, crusade.

Rajiv Chandrasekaran was Washington Post man in the Green Zone. In Imperial Life in the Emerald City, he knoweth whereof he speaketh. As the streets descend into anarchy and GI’s do increasingly dangerous and dirty work, fantasy reigns in Halliburton’s neocon disneyland. Where once Saddam’s republican guard strutted their stuff, George W. Bush’s, er republican guard is depicted in a thoroughly believable way, strutting its stuff around the pool. Occasional flashes of French door furniture indicate that in this film Iraq is played by Morocco.

This action caper is based on, rather than drawn from, Chandrasekaran’s factual book. Matt Damon is an clean-cut GI over there to clear up those pesky WMD’s, round up Saddam like a Raccoon, etc. etc. Much of this flm is shot on a not-so-steadycam yielding an occasionally dizzying documentary effect like a computer wargame. This technique will engage and please the young more than bifocal wearers. Saddam has legged it, but not his chum General Al-Rawi who, it turns out, has his own interesting past with the U. S. Government. A lot of doors get kicked in and henchpersons shot, but the good guys kinda win in the end.

I suspect that unless you are a complete wargaming nut, in which case, enjoy, your reactions to the film will line up around your take on the Iraq war. If you believe that it was a good idea, and the prospectus on which it was started was decent, legal honest and truthful you will feel affronted that such a film could be imagined, let alone made. Fox News, which believes everybody should ignore the government at home paradoxically also believes everything republican governments do abroad is, ipso facto, decent, legal, honest and truthful.

Back on planet earth, it is becoming evident as the enquiries unfold that you can argue with the details, but a squalid and confused fantasy-based computer game is not that far away from the way historians will view the Iraq War. There were no WMD’s twenty minutes away from Cyprus. In this regard Saddam’s brutal regime was all mouth and no trousers. The war’s whole prospectus was dishonest, and our politicans knew it but lied to us. Brave people took big risks, money flowed like water, and several hundred thousand innocent civilians died. You couldn’t make this stuff up.

Tuesday, 11 November 2008

The Madness of King George

Around 2030, the story of the Bush administration will begin to emerge as real history. Until then, for those who can’t wait, there’s the Oliver Stone version — a surprisingly enjoyable night out with the rabbit who has been working the controls in Bush Junior’s brain all these years.

The movie poster helpfully spells out for those too dim to work out for themselves that “W.” is actually pronounced “Dubya”; and we are left with the distinct impression that the 43rd President is probably one of them. He comes over as a Mickey Mouse character; Mickey whose appeal Walt himself described as “a little guy trying his best.” Surrounded by intelligent, sometimes well-meaning, sometimes manipulative people, W. is an amiable buffoon with a desperate need to prove himself, a curously conflicted Big Kid, posing as a grown up world leader. Essentially, he is way out of his depth.

It took JFK 28 years to achieve his Stone biopic. It is thus a rare distinction to get your own before leaving office. Indeed, the figure at the centre of this movie is surprisingly sympaticoa small boy with his spoon in the jamjar and an engaging grin that goes right through him, like Blackpool runs through Blackpool rock.

All the Big Names show up for the party, and a squad of actors has had a wonderful romp impersonating the gang — Cheney, Wolfowitz, Rove, Scowcroft, Powell, Rice... There’s even a cameo Tony Blair down on the ranch, with his own ear-to-ear grin. Dubya, on a bizarre Oedipus trip all his own, propels the free world towards what Stone sees as the most idiotic, pointless and destructive fiasco of modern times. I wish I remembered the detail well enough to know which lines and incidents in this movie are actually historical. The future president’s deathly duel with a Pretzel is, I believe, historical; but I wonder about the line given to Colin Powell, where the statesman and soldier perceptively warns the president that this Iraq thing will mire down everything he is trying to achieve.

Dubya’s best efforts to prove his pappy wrong, glowingly prove his pappy right all along. On the way, he accidentally puts the prestige of the greatest nation on earth pretty much down the toilet, and makes a complete arse of himself even unto his own, plunging his ratings from the high 70’s to round about 20. If this genre catches on, Dubya II may attempt to explain why, whilst doing this, he saddled his countrymen with $35,000 a head of public debt; or as Reagan and Thatcher used to call it, deferred taxation.

You couldn’t make this stuff up — but then you don’t have to; you just have to hope someone can somehow put things back together again so that we get a 2030 from which historians can look back and tell us when to laugh and when to cry.

Wednesday, 23 April 2008

The real cost of War

If you want something to cry God for Harry, England and Saint George about, yesterday I caught and found myself drawn into one of the most perceptive and compassionate pieces of telly I’ve ever seen — a BBC documentary by Ken Hames, Ex-Forces and Homeless. The BBC has drawn to public atention how many people leave the services and go to pieces, ending up on the streets. The Oswald Stoll foundation, among others, try and put people affected in touch with each other and resources to rebuild their lives. It’s a problem Catherine’s noticed in her work in the West London Day Centre.

As a former major in the SAS with 27 years’ service, Ken Hames managed to tell the stories of three people from the inside, with moving tenderness and understanding. This wasn’t a simple sob story, thought there’s plenty sad about people who have been reduced from peaks of fighting fitness to life on the streets.

In the end, it came down to Post Traumatic Stress, and the degree to which people, being who they are, manage to confront their own demons. There’s a thin line line between painful recovery and falling off the edge. I was an army baby. Some of the programme stirred up some of the stuff in the sludge at the bottom of my life. Considering the human fallout of Bush/Blair loonery in Iraq, and bearing in mind Hillary’s rather disturbing electioneering offer yesterday to Obliterate Iran, this isn’t a problem that’s going to go away.

The programme’s well worth 40 minutes on the iplayer here.

Tuesday, 25 March 2008

Gay WMD and Millennium Bugs

G. K. Chesterton imagined a future when someone would be able to communicate with everyone on earth simultaneously — but without anything to say.
Nick Davies is a journalist who reckons we’ve pretty much got there. Media production lines churn out bucketloads of synthetic fury pulled off the wires and reheated, surveys and scandals made up on the phone by Astroturf organisations, Trolls & Mr Angry rentaquotes. Resulting nutritional content makes Turkey Twizzlers seem Mighty Meaty.

What’s the alternative? Well you could have a news based profession with reporters given the time to get to know their contacts and check their stories, but that would take time and cost more than Fleet Street is willing to pay these days. Anyway why bother, when you can churn out sufficient crap to feed the trolls and hang the ads around? We need hard-headed journalists more than ever. Sadly, they don’t run the show any more.

Mr Davies gives plenty of chapter and verse. Remember the Millennium Bug? Planes were going to fall out of the sky. Life as we know it was going to grind to a halt. Accidental nukes would plunge us into a thousand year winter. There was a problem, but not of the sort or scale that filled the papers. In the event it all passed off harmlessly. Remember WMD? Western powers with the technology to read a newspaper from space somehow bought the pup that Iraq was bristling with WMD. Tony Blair told us Cyprus was twenty minutes from destruction. It was all, literally, a bloody lie — half a million innocent men, women and children died as a consequence, and thousands of troops. Mr Davies charts the sexing up of dodgy information that grew this bloody lie, and the way the media are led through the nose as asses are. He ends with a powerful chapter on “Mail Aggression” that shows exactly how the fount of the nation’s morals operates, plain brown envelopes and all. The nasty niff from the woodshed is Hypocrisy, friends.

If it ever strikes you that most of the stuff in the paper is spiteful, half baked, mass produced and pre-digested, it’s because, er, it is. That’s all the poor dears have the time to churn out. Anglican planes have been allegedly dropping out of the sky because of the Gay Bug for the past ten years now, and none has yet hit the ground. Gay WMD are pulsating in their silos twenty weeks away. Time will tell. Just keep your critical sense switched on, and don’t forget the Millennium Bug.
See also the Interesting discussion of hammed up news by Simon Barrow here.

Thursday, 27 December 2007

Post-Christmas Blair Which? project

Erstwhile Buckinghamshire weekender Tony Blair has joined his wife’s church. Why not? Two years’ sixth form journo harum-scarum on this topic was all bilge, and would have been even if TB were still PM. If Lloyd George, a Baptist, had decided to join the Methodist Church, it would not have mattered a spearmint puff. How much less this man, this century. Christians join other denominations every day. Advertising for a new archdeacon this year, a significant proportion of applicants were originally ordained in the RC Church. So what? Only denominations that take themselves way too seriously, or just don’t understand post-Christendom would be bovvered. So Tony Blair deserves better than crackpot right wing RC’s sounding off like the Judaean People’s Front about how unworthy he is to join them. They should read more Graham Greenes.

But what about Tony Blair the leader? In the season for annual reviews, what’s the historical score? How would a consumer mag rate our recent history? Here’s one Oxonian nerd hot tip — Historians’ verdicts on leaders are usually more positive than those of their detractors / persecutors immediately after they left office. It looked like decline and fall for this erstwhile Blair voter to count no fewer than six “Bliar” Tee shirts in one tube carriage last summer. Does this fate await all England managers and prime minsters? Build ’em up, knock ’em down — they were never as good or bad as the papers said. Paying tribute to Tony Blair’s idealism and charisma sounds almost Blairily insincere.

Historically speaking? Gladstone came from a conservative background but was willing (sometimes too willing?) to play a high radical hand. Gladstone was high minded and immensely hard working, with a knack for catching the moment rhetorically. Enemies accused Gladstone of ruthless demagoguery, of which he was himself utterly unaware. They called Gladstone insincere, when he was in fact only too sincere.

Incredibly, when you consider what both were up against, the Gladstone project in Ireland, like the Blair project there, almost made it home. Gladstone’s government ground into the dust, like Blair’s, amidst recriminations about an overseas fiasco involving Muslims — Sudan for Gladstone, Iraq for Blair.

Blair’s governments blew impressive economic bubbles, delivered a minimum wage, tackled the foothills of child poverty, inspired style iconry and mildly rebalanced a few UK priorities. None of these were quite all they were cracked up to be, but they were hard-earned and amount to considerably more than nothing. Did Blair renew the UK constitutional setup, or did he destroy it? We’ll see. Ditto Education.

Healthcare was a more precarious endeavour. Blair sincerely piled shedloads of cash in, but somehow the returns diminished and the more that went in, the less people appreciated it. Perhaps, and the only way to discover this was to try it, the UK simply maxed out the benefit any market model healthcare system could deliver without as much money leaking out the bottom as was going in the top. Contemplating Debt Mountain and aging assets, historians may wonder at the scale of PFI — a UK public works funding scheme rather like putting your mortgage on your credit card. Tony Blair’s most serious tactical political disaster, although it seemed like a good idea at the time, was announcing his departure in 2005. The UK media being the UK media, he never quite got out of the garage for his third term.

Tony Blair’s Mary Tudor “Calais” would have to be Iraq. This is a real shame, because his leadership over Kosovo and Sierra Leone was courageous, creative and effective. Surely Blair was right to cherish the US/UK relationship. It was just Blair’s bad luck that the US fell into the hands of a foreign policy ingenu and Neocon experimentalist, who mired his country recklessly in a Suez-style adventure that screwed up its prestige in the Middle East. Compare and contrast Annapolis with Camp David, and weep. Afghanistan was dumb. Iraq was dumber. In the story of the American Empire, the Iraq war will probably play a similar part to the Boer War in the tale of its British counterpart, militarily and otherwise.

Possibly Blair did all he could to temper the loonery, but in fact almost a million innocent civilians died, Iraq collapsed into major chaos and became a world terrorist centre, whilst Iran’s star began to rise. UK public trust crumbled after the dodgy dossier. The CIA used to say, you can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube.

Or can you? It remains to be seen what’s next for Tony Blair. He’s certainly made a far more selfless, courageous and principled start to his next career than his predecessors did to theirs. It could even be redemptive. It’s all too easy to judge others who bear burdens we will never have to shoulder. Perhaps it’s time t0 cut him a bit of slack for now, and offer our sincere prayers and good wishes for the future.

Thursday, 8 November 2007

Praying for the peace of Jerusalem?

CCJ Middle East briefing at the House of Commons with Professor Shai Feldman, director of the Crown Center for Middle East Studies at Brandeis. Joke: CNN asked on the streets of Tel Aviv for a summary outlook. One word? “Good.” Two words? “Not Good!”

Wikipedia’s List of middle East peace proposals since 1919, says “this list is incomplete. You can expand it.” But how? Looking ahead to the Annapolis Convention, what exactly could this be whenever it happens?
  1. The Crowning moment of a peace process? Lovely idea, but crowning what?
  2. An opportunity to negotiate, like Camp David? fine, but Bush ain’t no Carter or Clinton in this region, especially not post-Iraq. Post-Iraq?
  3. a Launching board for a new process phase, as the Madrid conference was? It could be, but will need careful timetabling and focus to reassure the parties they can move forward.
For what could we all focus prayers right now in the middle east?
  1. Stabilization — West Bank settlement activity ends / Palestinians end violence. Great idea. All attempts so far to do this have failed...
  2. Road Map 2 — “provisional state building” / “Comprehensive armistice” Some kind of recognition thing would be a start.
  3. Negotiate permanent status agreement — ideal, but who’s really ready for this, and how?
It would be lovely to think that Annapolis could be more than a high class photo opportunity. But how, I wondered?
  1. The cleansing of historical memory on all sides is fundamental. Competing narratives cannot be reconciled right now, not even on the level of “wie es eigentlich gewesen.” They have to be acknowledged for what they are, and how they impact the communities that hold them. Mental note to read the new edition of Benny Goodman’s analysis.
  2. The good ol’ British Army Bloody Fool theory says the other lot are just like they are because they are who they are. Because everyone is, to a certain extent, a bloody fool, it explains everything. This thinking produces designer conflicts on the TV news, which the media just feed, like they used to in Northern Ireland. Stereotypes are not enough. Just say no. Progress will only come as people, including “us”, are willing to go the second mile, imaginatively, compassionately, and rationally. This means acknowledging provisionality but not losing hope. It means assessing people’s motives in terms of their basic needs and perceptions, and refusing to create simple goodies and baddies. When tempted to settle for “they just do it because they are...” just say no.
  3. The Scriptures picture a future that is God’s, and hold out hope. It's always necessary to be realistic about others’ motives and intentions, but all forms of cynicism, including crude instrumentalism, are not enough. Everybody has legitimate needs and aspirations. How could these fit together? Religious people have a special duty, and, theoretically, special resources to cherish and model respect, imagination, compassion and understanding. Religion that doesn't do these things is just licensed insanity.

Tuesday, 18 September 2007

Back to the Future?

Paleo-Future (Palaeo-future?) is for history junkies who wonder how the future looked from the past. Relish thought-transmitting headgear for women, paperless offices and personal hovercraft! here at home I treasure a yellowing cutting from the Times of July 1971 claiming, as a mathematical certainty, that all vestiges of organised religion would have disappeared by 2011.

Our forebears didn't always get it wrong, however. Some 1900 cards from the French Government's national collection certainly ring a few bells...

The UK National Curriculum?











Cable TV Porn channels?










The Iraq War?











Without launching into a great Rumsfeld "unknown unknowns" thing, this proves the Mark Twain principle that what makes a monkey out of you isn't what you don't know. It's what you think you know, but it's wrong!
What false certainties do we cherish about our future, or, for that matter, our present?

Saturday, 1 September 2007

One way ticket to a madman destination...

...will you stop or will you just keep going?" What has the "surge" achieved, and where is it all going anyway, now even George Bush is using the "V" word?

It's been a disturbing year. General Tony Zinni, led the US Marines ably and effectively in the gulf, and afterwards back home. Now retired, his Terry Sanford Institute of Public Policy presentation at Duke (available for free on iTunes — just key in "Terry Sanford Zinni" to find a free audio or video podcast) tells it, pretty much, as it is from a military perspective — Iraq, failures, realities and the Future.

Thomas E. Ricks is the Washington Post Pentagon correspondent and Pulitzer Prize winning military historian. His analysis is now in paperback, and the title says it all — Fiasco: the American Military adventure in Iraq. It's a terribly depressing read (people suffering from a surfeit of cheerfulness after the holidays can get it on Amazon in a job lot with Bob Woodward's State of denial: Bush at War part III).

In Ricks' view not only have many people died on all sides, many of them innocent bystanders, but the effect of the whole thing has been to destroy US credibility and stoke up terrorism. "Effective tactics harnessed to bad strategy equals military disaster." He investigates how the US could start a pre-emptive war based on false information (step forward Paul Wolfowitz, among others), and tracks carefully through the disastrous resulting imbroglio.

His Afterword ("Betting against History") suggests one of four denouements:
  1. The best case scenario: the Philippines, 1899-1946 — thousands of troops there for many years to come while the place dials down and normalises

  2. The middling secnario: France in Algeria or Israel in Lebanon — keeping a lid on low level civil war for as long as possible, whilst trying to keep casualties down to a publicly acceptable rate, until something can be cobbled together domestically. This took the Israelis 18 years in Lebanon.

  3. A worse scenario: Civil war, partition and regional war. T. X. Hammes, the counterinsurgency expert says "We have lit multiple fuses. There will be multiple explosions. I'm thinking our grandkids could easily be there."

  4. The nightmare scenario. This is where the 74% of Iraqis who say "it doesn't matter whom, the country needs a single strong leader" gets one. Then if the US bottles out for electoral reasons, you arrive at a profound irony: Iraq run by a real dictator (Caliph?), who really is all the things Bush & Blair said Saddam Hussein was, which SH was, but only in his dreams. Unlike SH this guy would be the real deal. Anti-Americanism would unite all kinds of people around him SH could never pull in. Thus (almost like Greek tragedy) the result of the war could be to bring about precisely the scenario it was intended to avoid, but in a much more virulent form.
Is there a 5th scenario?

Sunday, 12 August 2007

Don't mention the War

Dinner with a small group of friends at Buddy Guy's Legends on South Wabash in Chicago. There was a classic blues singer called Fruteland Jackson, who looked and sounded the part superbly, including a fabulous a capella song ("Tell me what you say").

This was classic delta blues, world class music from a great man who is defying the Basil Fawlty convention "not to mention the war" that everyone else seems to go for round here right now, with his Blues over Baghdad.

The cost? Free. If we'd been able to stay for the incredible Carl Weathersby, it would have cost us $15. Chicago is Jazz & Blues heaven, and world class music is (almost) free here!
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